Week 2
Questions this week
How do people construct a belief in causality when the connection between evidence, action, and outcome remains invisible or uncertain?
Research discoveries
I explored this question from three directions. The Piltdown Man hoax showed how apparently scientific evidence can be shaped by prior expectations. Karma and leap of faith showed how belief can continue without a visible causal mechanism. Research on online dating showed that more information can create a rejection mindset rather than greater certainty.
Other work
This week, I expanded my collection of references and tested different cases against the three research directions. Some cases did not fit perfectly, but they helped reveal further questions. For example, West Elm Caleb made me consider how audiences and brands collectively create what they describe as someone’s karma, and how they might understand their own participation if the original judgment later proves mistaken. I also examined cases involving NASA and a Japanese plane crash. Comparing, selecting, and sometimes rejecting these materials helped me organize the research into a clearer structure.
Other questions or notes
I also want to explore how these questions can become a communication design investigation rather than remain only psychological or religious topics. My next step is to identify which cases reveal this structure most clearly and to find counterexamples that challenge my current assumptions.
References
- https://www.nhm.ac.uk/our-science/services/library/collections/piltdown-man.html
- https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1948550619866189
- https://www.spaghettimonster.org!
- https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-CRPT-99hrpt1016/pdf/GPO-CRPT-
- https://jtsb.mlit.go.jp/eng-air_report/JA8119.pdf?utm_source
- https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20210329-do-maximisers-or-satisficers-make-better-decisions